TORTINI

For your delectation and delight, desultory dicta on the law of delicts.

Discovery of Litigation Financing – The Jackpot Justice Finance Corporation

July 16th, 2014

Over two years ago, I wrote that courts and counsel have not done enough to adapt to the litigation industry’s use of third-party financing. SeeLitigation Funding” (May 8, 2012). A few days ago, Byron Stier, at the Mass Tort Litigation Blog, posted a short news item about a recent effort to modify discovery rules to take into account the litigation industry’s business model of seeking third-party litigation funding.  SeeIndustry Groups Seek Amendment of Rule 26 to Require Disclosure of Third Party Litigation Financing” (July 13, 2014).

Stier reported that the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Institute for Legal Reform, American Insurance Association, American Tort Reform Association, Lawyers for Civil Justice, and National Association of Manufacturers, back in April 2014, wrote a letter to the Committee on Rules of Practice and Procedure of the Administrative Office of the federal courts, to propose an amendment to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 26(a)(1)(A). Their proposed new language is underscored, and follows 26(a)(1)(A)(i)-(iv):

“(v) for inspection and copying as under Rule 34, any agreement under which any person, other than an attorney permitted to charge a contingent fee representing a party, has a right to receive compensation that is contingent on, and sourced from, any proceeds of the civil action, by settlement, judgment or otherwise.”

This proposal is important and necessary to ensure that defendants can inquire about financial bias in jury voir dire, as well as identify bias among judges, special masters, and witnesses.  Other procedural rule reforms will be needed as well. Appellate briefs should disclose financiers that have a stake in the litigation. When courts limit counsel and parties’ communications to the media about a case, such limits should apply as well to insurers and third-party financiers of the litigation efforts. Third-party financiers provide a convenient way for the litigation industry to lobby regulators and legislators, and more expansive disclosure rules are needed to capture the activities of the litigation financiers.  Funding of litigation-related research by third-party financiers should be anticipated by journal editors with more expansive disclosure rules; journal editors should be alert to evolving financial markets that may influence research agendas and publications. Lawyers’ scrutiny of new clients for conflicts now requires inquiry into the veiled interests created by litigation financing.

NIEHS Transparency? We Can See Right Through You

July 10th, 2014

The recent issue of Environmental Health Perspectives contains several interesting articles on scientific methodology of interest to lawyers who litigate claimed health effects.[1] The issue also contains a commentary that argues for greater transparency in science and science policy, which should be a good thing, but yet the commentary has the potential to obscure and confuse. Kevin C. Elliott and David B. Resnik, “Science, Policy, and the Transparency of Values,” 122 Envt’l Health Persp. 647 (2014) [Elliott & Resnik].

David B. Resnik has a Ph.D., in philosophy from University of North Carolina, and his law degree from the on-line Concord University School of Law.  He is currently a bioethicist and the chairman of the NIEHS Institutional Review Board. Kevin Elliott received his doctorate in the History and Philosophy of Science (Notre Dame), and he is currently an Associate Professor in Michigan State University. Elliott and Resnik advance a plea for transparency that superficially is as appealing as motherhood and apple pie. The authors argue

“that society is better served when scientists strive to be as transparent as possible about the ways in which interests or values may influence their reasoning.”

The argument appears superficially innocuous.  Indeed, in addition to the usual calls for great disclosure of conflicts of interest, the authors call for more data sharing and less tendentious data interpretation:

“When scientists are aware of important background assumptions or values that inform their work, it is valuable for them to make these considerations explicit. They can also make their data publicly available and strive to acknowledge the range of plausible interpretations of available scientific information, the limitations of their own conclusions, the prevalence of various interpretations across the scientific community, and the policy options supported by these different interpretations.”

Alas, we may as well wish for the Kingdom of Heaven on Earth!  An ethos or a requirement of publicly sharing data would indeed advance the most important transparency, the transparency that would allow full exploration of the inferences and conclusions claimed in a particular study.  Despite their high-mindedness, the authors’ argument becomes muddled when it comes to conflating scientific objectivity with subjective values:

“In the past, scientists and philosophers have argued that the best way to maintain science’s objectivity and the public’s trust is to draw a sharp line between science and human values or policy (Longino 1990). However, it is not possible to maintain this distinction, both because values are crucial for assessing what counts as sufficient evidence and because ethical, political, economic, cultural, and religious factors unavoidably affect scientific judgment (Douglas 2009; Elliott 2011; Longino 1990; Resnik 2007, 2009).”

This argument confuses pathology of science with what actually makes science valuable and enduring.  The Nazis invoked cultural arguments, explicitly or implicitly to reject “Jewish” science; religious groups in the United States invoke religious and political considerations to place creationism on an equal or superior footing with evolution; anti-vaccine advocacy groups embrace case reports over rigorous epidemiologic analyses. To be sure, these and other examples show that “ethical, political, economic, cultural, and religious factors unavoidably affect scientific judgment,” but yet science can and does transcend them.  There is no Jewish or Nazi science; indeed, there is no science worthy of its name that comes from any revealed religion or cult.  As Tim Minchin has pointed out, alternative medicine is either known not to work or not known to work because if alternative medicine is known to work, then we call it “medicine.” The authors are correct that these subjective influences require awareness and understanding of prevalent beliefs, prejudices, and corrupting influences, but they do not, and they should not, upset our commitment to an evidence-based world view.

Elliott and Resnik are focused on environmentalism and environmental policy, and they seem to want to substitute various presumptions, leaps of faith, and unproven extrapolations for actual evidence  and valid inference, in the hope of improving the environment and reducing risk to life.  The authors avoid the obvious resolution: value the environment, but acknowledge ignorance and uncertainty.  Rather than allow precautionary policies to advance with a confession of ignorance, the authors want to retain their ability to claim knowledge even when they simply do not know, just because the potential stakes are high. The circularity becomes manifest in their ambiguous use of “risk,” which strictly means a known causal relationship between the “risk” and some deleterious outcome.  There is a much weaker usage, popularized by journalists and environmentalists, in which “risk” refers to something that might cause a deleterious outcome.  The might in “risk” here does not refer to a known probabilistic or stochastic relationship between the ex ante risk and the outcome, but rather to an uncertainty whether or not the relationship exists at all. We can see the equivocation in how the authors attempt to defend the precautionary principle:

“Insisting that chemicals should be regulated only in response to evidence from human studies would help to prevent false positive conclusions about chemical toxicity, but it would also prevent society from taking effective action to minimize the risks of chemicals before they produce measurable adverse effects in humans. Moreover, insisting on human studies would result in failure to identify some human health risks because the diseases are rare, or the induction and latency periods are long, or the effects are subtle (Cranor 2011).”

Elliott & Resnik at 648.

If there is uncertainty about the causal relationship, then by calling some exposures a “risk,” the authors prejudge whether there will be “adverse effects” at all. This is just muddled.  If the relationship is uncertain, and false positive conclusions are possible, then we simply cannot claim to know that there will be such adverse effects, without assuming what we wish to prove.

The authors compound the muddle by introducing a sliding scale of “standards of evidence,” which appears to involve both variable posterior probabilities that the causal claim is correct, as well as variable weighting of types of evidence.  It is difficult to see how this will aid transparency and reduce confusion. Indeed, we can see how manipulative the authors’ so-called transparency becomes in the context of evaluating causal claims in pharmaceutical approvals versus tort claims:

“Very high standards of evidence are typically expected in order to infer causal relationships or to approve the marketing of new drugs. In other social contexts, such as tort law and chemical regulation, weaker standards of evidence are sometimes acceptable to protect the public (Cranor 2008).”

Remarkably, the authors cite no statute, no case law, no legal treatise writer for the proposition that the tort law standard for causation is somehow lower than for a claim of drug efficacy before the Food and Drug Administration.  The one author they cite, Carl Cranor, is neither a scientist nor a lawyer, but a philosophy professor who has served as an expert witness for plaintiffs in tort litigation (usually without transparently disclosing his litigation work). As for the erroneous identification of tort and regulatory standards, there is of course, much real legal authority to the contrary[2].

The authors go on to suggest that demanding

“the very highest standards of evidence for chemical regulation—including, for example, human evidence, accompanying animal data, mechanistic evidence, and clear exposure data—would take very long periods of time and leave the public’s health at risk.”

Elliott & Resnik at 648.

Of course, the point is that until such data are developed, we really do not know whether the public’s health is at risk.  Transparency would be aided not by some sliding and slippery scale of evidence, but by frank admissions that we do not know whether the public’s health is at risk, but we choose to act anyway, and to impose whatever costs, inconvenience, and further uncertainty by promoting alternatives that are accompanied by even greater risk or uncertainty.  Environmentalists rarely want to advance such wishy-washy proposals, devoid of claims of scientific knowledge that their regulations will avoid harm, and promote health, but honesty and transparency require such admissions.

The authors advance another claim in their Commentary:  transparency in the form of more extensive disclosure of conflicts of interest will aid sound policy formulation.  To their credit, the authors do not limit the need for disclosure to financial benefits; rather they take an appropriately expansive view:

“Disclosures of competing financial interests and nonfinancial interests (such as professional or political allegiances) also provide opportunities for more transparent discussions of the impact of potentially implicit and subconscious values (Resnik and Elliott 2013).”

Elliott & Resnik at 649.  Problematically, however, when the authors discuss some specific instances of apparent conflicts, they note industry “ties,” of the authors of an opinion piece on endocrine disruptors[3], but they are insensate to the ties of critics, such as David Ozonoff and Carl Cranor, to the litigation industry, and of others to advocacy groups that might exert much more substantial positional bias and control over those critics.

The authors go further in suggesting that women have greater perceptions of risk than men, and presumably we must know whether we are being presented with a feminist or a masculinist risk assessment. Will self-reported gender suffice or must we have a karyotype? Perhaps we should have tax returns and a family pedigree as well? The call for transparency seems at bottom a call for radical subjectivism, infused with smug beliefs that want to be excused from real epistemic standards.



[1] In addition to the Elliott and Resnick commentary, see Andrew A. Rooney, Abee L. Boyles, Mary S. Wolfe, John R. Bucher, and Kristina A. Thayer, “Systematic Review and Evidence Integration for Literature-Based Environmental Health Science Assessments,” 122 Envt’l Health Persp. 711 (2014); Janet Pelley, “Science and Policy: Understanding the Role of Value Judgments,” 122 Envt’l Health Persp. A192 (2014); Kristina A. Thayer, Mary S. Wolfe, Andrew A. Rooney, Abee L. Boyles, John R. Bucher, and Linda S. Birnbaum, “Intersection of Systematic Review Methodology with the NIH Reproducibility Initiative,” 122 Envt’l Health Persp. A176 (2014).

[2] Sutera v. The Perrier Group of America, 986 F. Supp. 655, 660 (D. Mass. 1997); In re Agent Orange Product Liab. Litig., 597 F. Supp. 740, 781 (E.D.N.Y. 1984) (Weinstein, J.), aff’d, 818 F.2d 145 (2d Cir. 1987); Allen v. Pennsylvania Engineering Corp., 102 F.3d 194, 198 (5th Cir. 1996) (distinguishing regulatory pronouncements from causation in common law actions, which requires higher thresholds of proof); Glastetter v. Novartis Pharms. Corp., 107 F. Supp. 2d 1015, 1036 (E.D. Mo. 2000), aff’d, 252 F.3d 986 (8th Cir. 2001);  Wright v. Willamette Indus., Inc., 91 F.3d 1105 (8th Cir. 1996); Siharath v. Sandoz Pharms. Corp., 131 F. Supp. 2d 1347, 1366 (N.D. Ga. 2001), aff’d, 295 F.3d 1194 330 (11th Cir. 2002).

[3] Daniel R. Dietrich, Sonja von Aulock, Hans Marquardt, Bas Blaauboer, Wolfgang Dekant, Jan Hengstler, James Kehrer, Abby Collier, Gio Batta Gori, Olavi Pelkonen, Frans P. Nijkamp, Florian Lang, Kerstin Stemmer, Albert Li, KaiSavolainen, A. Wallace Hayes, Nigel Gooderham, and Alan Harvey, “Scientifically unfounded precaution drives European Commission’s recommendations on EDC regulation, while defying common sense, well-established science and risk assessment principles,” 62 Food Chem. Toxicol. A1 (2013)

 

NIEHS Study – CHARGE Failure to Disclose Conflicts of Interest

June 23rd, 2014

At midnight, the Environmental Health Perspectives (EHP) posted an “in-press” paper on autism and pesticides, slated for full publication in the next few weeks.  Janie F. Shelton, Estella M. Geraghty, Daniel J. Tancredi, Lora D. Delwiche, Rebecca J. Schmidt, Beate Ritz, Robin L. Hansen, and Irva Hertz-Picciotto, “Neurodevelopmental disorders and prenatal residential Proximity to Agricultural pesticides: the CHARGE Study,” Envt’l Health Persp. (advanced publication: June 23, 2014).

The paper was embargoed until midnight, but the principal investigator, Prof. Irva Hertz-Picciotto, violated that embargo by talking about the study’s results in a YouTube video, posted two weeks ago. SeeSelective Leaking — Breaking Ingelfinger’s Rule” (June 20, 2014).

The paper is already attracting media attention. Predictably, the coverage trades on inaccurate and misleading terms, such as “links” and “increased risks.”  See, e.g., Agence France-Presse, “Study finds link between pesticides and autism,” (Yahoo news story claiming “link” in headline, but in text, noting that the study findings “do not show cause-and-effect.”); Arielle Duhaime-Ross (The Verge), “Study further confirms link between autism and pesticide exposure: Living near farms and fields can put a foetus at risk,”  (June 23, 2014 12:01 am) (filed one minute after the embargo was officially lifted, and declaring that “neurotoxins, which include everything from pesticides, to mercury and diesel, are thought to alter brain development in foetuses. Now, a new study further confirms this link by showing that pregnant women who live within a mile of farms and fields where pesticides are employed see their risk of having a child with autism increase by 60 percent — and that risk actually doubles if the exposure occurs in the third trimester”); Zoë Schlanger (Newseek), “Autism Risk Much Higher for Children of Pregnant Women Living Near Agricultural Pesticide Areas” (June 23, 2014).

There are few more incendiary issues than autism or brain damage and environmental exposures.  The media is unlikely to look very critically at this paper.  News reports talk of “links” and “increased risks,” but they do not look at methodological problems and limitations.  They should.

The media should also look at conflicts of interest (COIs). Well, in an ideal world, the media and everyone else would stop trying to use COIs as a proxy for interpreting study validity. The reality, however, is that much of the media treats corporate financial interests as sufficient reason to discount or disregard a study.  If the media want to avoid being hoisted with their own hypocritical petard, they will look closely at the undisclosed COIs in this new paper by Shelton, et al.

First, they will note that the authors disclose that they have no COIs:

“Competing financial interests: The authors have no competing financial interests.”

Second, the media will note that EHP provides explicit instructions to authors on COI disclosures:

Competing Financial Interests

EHP has a policy of full disclosure. Authors must declare all actual or potential competing finan­cial interests involving people or organizations that might reasonably be perceived as relevant. Disclosure of competing interests does not imply that the information in the article is questionable or that conclusions are biased. Decisions to pub­lish or reject an article will not be based solely on a declaration of a competing interest.

***

Employment of any author by a for-profit or nonprofit foundation or advocacy group or work as a consultant also must be indicated on the CFID form.”

EHP Instructions to authors (2013).

Third, the media will ask whether the COI disclosure (“none”) was proper.  The study is one in a series of papers that comes out of research funded by the federal government, THE CHARGE STUDY: CHILDHOOD AUTISM RISKS FROM GENETICS AND THE ENVIRONMENT (2R01ES015359-06). Journalists may want to look, in the first instance, to the principal investigator, Irva Hertz-PicciottoHertz-Picciotto is an epidemiologist at the University of California, Davis, where she is the chief of the Division of Environmental and Occupational Health, Department of Public Health Sciences.

Fourth, the media may want to ask whether Dr. Hertz-Picciotto’s COI disclosure complied with the journal’s requirements.  Recall that EHP requires authors to disclose work or consultancy for a “nonprofit foundation or advocacy group… .” Dr. Hertz-Picciotto sits on the advisory board of Autism Speaks, an advocacy group. More telling, Hertz-Picciotto also serves on the advisory board of the radically anti-chemical Healthy Child, Healthy World organization, located in California (12100 Wilshire Blvd. Suite 800, Los Angeles CA 90025).  According to its website, Healthy Child Healthy World is a California non-profit corporation that advocates to:

“  •  Demand corporate accountability
•  Engage communities for collective action
•  Support safer chemicals and products
•  Influence legislative and regulatory reform.”

Both organizations would seem to come under the EHP COI disclosure policy, but these memberships are not disclosed in the on-line article. Certainly, these affiliations are every bit as potentially enlightening about the principal investigator’s motivations and methodological choices as corporate sponsorship. Of course, it is possible that Dr. Hertz-Picciotto made these disclosures, but the EHP editors chose not to make them public.  If so, shame on the editors.

Most important, the media should provide critical review of the substance of the Shelton paper, and certainly more than sound bites on COIs or “links.” For one thing, even a quick review shows that there are four exposure periods (pre-conception, and three trimesters of pregnancy), two outcome variables (autism spectrum disorder and developmental delay), five exposure substances, and three exposure proximities, for 120 comparisons.  The statistical analysis in the paper uses an alpha of 0.05, which provides a study-wise Type I error rate, and cannot be used to evaluate any one of the 120 comparisons.  The paper’s use of “statistical significance” terminology should be taken with a grain of salt.[1] For another thing, many of the risk factors identified in other studies are not addressed here. See, e.g., Xin Zhang, Cong-Chao Lv, Jiang Tian, Ru-Juan Miao, Wei Xi, Irva Hertz-Picciotto, and Lihong Qi, “Prenatal and Perinatal Risk Factors for Autism in China,” 40 J. Autism Dev. Disord. 1311 (2010) (“In the adjusted analysis, nine risk factors showed significant association with autism: maternal second-hand smoke exposure, maternal chronic or acute medical conditions unrelated to pregnancy, maternal unhappy emotional state, gestational complications, edema, abnormal gestational age (<35 or >42 weeks), nuchal cord, gravidity >1, and advanced paternal age at delivery (>30 year-old)). Ultimately, a more demanding inquiry may be required to investigate the extent to which anti-pesticide advocacy groups have actually created an apparent increase in autism rates by informational, political, and environmental campaigns.


[1] See United States v. Harkonen, No. C 08–00164 MHP, 2010 WL 2985257, at *1 (N.D. Cal. July 27, 2010), aff’d, 510 F. App’x 633, 636 (9th Cir. Mar. 4, 2013)(affirming wire fraud conviction for author of press release who failed to disclose that endpoint was not prespecified, and failed to adjust for multiple comparisons), cert. denied, ___ U.S. ___ (Dec. 16, 2013).

 

Sand in My Shoe – CERTainly

June 17th, 2014

Late last week, the California Court of Appeals reversed a dismissal on the pleadings in a claimed silicosis case. Uriarte v. Scott Sales Co., NO. B244257, California Ct. App. (2d Dist. Div. June 13, 2014)(certified for publication).

The defendants supplied silica sand to plaintiff’s employer for use as sandblasting media. Plaintiff, Mr. Francisco Uriarte, alleging that he developed lung fibrosis from sandblasting, sued the defendants.  Rather than defending on the ground of adequate warning, common knowledge, employer knowledge, plaintiff’s knowledge, and the like, defendants moved to dismiss on the pleadings on the grounds of the component parts doctrine, by which a “manufacturer of a component part is not liable for injuries caused by the finished product into which the component has been incorporated unless the component itself was defective and caused harm.” Id.  The California Court of Appeals reversed, and held that the component parts doctrine does not apply.  Fairly predictable, and probably correct to leave the defendants to their important, substantive defenses.

The appeal, however, is noteworthy for another reason, which received no comment from the California appellate court. The Council for Education and Research on Toxics (“CERT”), along with a list of physicians and scientists, filed an amicus brief in support of reversal. The individual amici[1] and CERT sought an opportunity to participate as

“a public benefit organization whose charitable purposes are education and research regarding toxic substances… . The other amici are all physicians. epidemiologists, scientists, and scholars of science and the history of science and public health.”

Amicus Brief for CERT at 1 (Oct. 10, 2013).  This participation is their right, but the amici avow that:

“None of the amici has any financial or other similar interest in the outcome of this lawsuit.”

Id. at 1.  This claim is not so clear. The Appendix to the Amicus Brief provides background on the individual amici. Although it may well be correct that none has a financial interest in the Uriarte case itself, most of the amici have been active as testifying expert witnesses, exclusively or nearly so for claimants, in cases just like the appeal.  The individual amici have been financially compensated for their witnessing. The brief fails to mention the amici’s advocacy roles, their testifying for remuneration, or their positional, political, and professional conflicts of interest.

The appearance of impropriety, however, is much greater than suffering the court system to have expert witnesses become advocates in disguise as neutral scientists, in a silicosis case. The CERT organization, one of the amici, is a non-profit California corporation, EIN: 42-1571530, founded in 2003, with a business address at:

401 E Ocean Blvd., Ste. 800, Long Beach, California 90802-4967,

and a telephone number: 

1-877-TOX-TORT

The person answering a telephone call to this number identified “The Metzger Law Group,” which makes CERT seem like the alter ego of The Metzger Law Group.

CERT’s mission statement? Furthering scientific understanding of toxins. But lawyer Ralph Metzger is noted as the contact person for CERT!  That is the same Ralphael Metzger, with the same Metzger Law Group, at the same Long Beach, California, address, who is the attorney for Mr. Uriarte in this case. Metzger apparently controls CERT, and he appears to be involved in CERT as a corporate officer.

Representing a party, and being a corporate officer in an amicus that attempts to influence an appellate court as a neutral entity, would seem to offend fundamental fairness in the appellate process.  In Uriarte, there was probably no harm, but surely the participation of amici in appellate proceedings needs to be policed more vigilantly.


[1] Richard W. Clapp*, Ronald Crystal, David A. Eastman*, Arthur L. Frank*, Robert J. Harrison*, Ronald Melnick*, Lee Newman, Stephen M. Rappaport*, Joseph Ross, and Janet Weiss*.  An asterisk indicates that the amicus was also an amicus in a brief filed by CERT, in the Milward case. SeeCERT” (July 9, 2013).

The Outer Limits (and Beyond?) of Ex Parte Advocacy of Federal Judges

May 23rd, 2014

As every trial lawyer knows, people sometimes reveal important facts in curious ways, incorporated in their own biased narrative of events.  Recently, I heard a recorded lecture about expert witnesses, by a plaintiffs’ lawyer, who revealed a damning fact about a judge.  The lawyer clearly thought that this fact was commendatory, but in fact revealed another effort of scientific advocates and zealots to subvert the neutrality of federal judges.  See In re School Asbestos Litigation, 977 F.2d 764 (3d Cir. 1992) (describing effort by plaintiffs’ lawyers and the late Dr. Irving Selikoff to corrupt state and federal judges with one-sided ex parte presentations of their views at the so-called Third-Wave Conference).

Anthony Z. Roisman is the Managing Partner of the National Legal Scholars Law Firm.  This firm has a roster of affiliated law professors who serve as consultants for plaintiffs in environmental and tort cases. (Some other participants in this law firm include Jay M. Feinman, Lucinda M. Finley, Neil Vidmar, and Richard W. Wright.) Roisman has been active in various plaintiff organizations, including serving as the head of the ATLA Section on Toxic, Environmental & Pharmaceutical Torts (STEP). 

Roisman lectures frequently for the American Law Institute on expert witness issues. Recently, I was listening to an mp3 recording of one of Roisman’s lectures on expert witnesses in environmental litigation.  Given Roisman’s practice and politics, I was not surprised to hear him praise Judge Rothstein’s opinion that refused to exclude plaintiffs’ expert witnesses’ causation opinions in the PPA litigation.  See In re Phenylpropanolamine Prod. Liab. Litig., 289 F. 2d 1230 (2003).  What stunned me, however, was his statement that Judge Rothstein issued her opinion “fresh from a seminar at the Tellus Institute,” which he described as “organization set up by scientist trying to bring common sense to interpretation of science.”

Post hoc; ergo propter hoc?

Judge Rothstein’s PPA decision stands as a landmark of judicial gullibility.  Judge Rothstein conducted hearings and entertaining extensive briefings on the reliability of plaintiffs’ expert witnesses’ opinions, which were based largely upon one epidemiologic study, known as the “Yale Hemorrhagic Stroke Project (HSP).”  In the end, publication in a prestigious peer-reviewed journal proved to be a proxy for independent review: “The prestigious NEJM published the HSP results, further substantiating that the research bears the indicia of good science.” Id. at 1239 (citing Daubert II for the proposition that peer review shows the research meets the minimal criteria for good science). The admissibility challenges were refused.

Ultimately, the HSP study received much more careful analysis before juries, which uniformly returned verdicts for the defense. After one of the early defense verdicts, plaintiffs’ counsel challenged the defendant’s reliance upon underlying data in the HSP, which went behind the peer-reviewed publication, and which showed that the peer review failed to prevent serious errors.  The trial court rejected the plaintiffs’ request for a new trial, and spoke to the significance of challenging the superficial significance of peer review of the key study relied upon by plaintiffs in the PPA litigation:

“I mean, you could almost say that there was some unethical activity with that Yale Study.  It’s real close.  I mean, I — I am very, very concerned at the integrity of those researchers.”

“Yale gets — Yale gets a big black eye on this.”

O’Neill v. Novartis AG, California Superior Court, Los Angeles Cty., Transcript of Oral Argument on Post-Trial Motions, at 46 -47 (March 18, 2004) (Hon. Anthony J. Mohr)

Roisman’s endorsement of the PPA decision may have been purely result-oriented jurisprudence, but what of his enthusiasm for the “learning” that Judge Rothstein received at the Tellus Institute.  Tell us, what is this Tellus Institute?

In 2003, roughly contemporaneously with Judge Rothstein’s PPA decision, SKAPP published a jeremiad against the Daubert decision, with support from none other than the Tellus Group. See Daubert: The Most Influential Supreme Court Ruling You’ve Never Heard Of;  A Publication of the Project on Scientific Knowledge and Public Policy, coordinated by the Tellus Institute (2003). The Tellus Institute website tells us very little specific detail about the Institute’s projects, other than stating some vague and pious goals.  The alignment, however, of the Tellus Institute with David Michael’s SKAPP, which was created with plaintiffs’ lawyers’ funding, certainly seems like a dubious indicator of neutrality and scientific commitment.  SeeSkapp a Lot” (April 30, 2010).

We might get a better idea of the organization from the Tellus membership.

Richard Clapp and David Ozonoff are both regular testifiers for plaintiffs in so-called toxic tort and environmental litigation. In an article published about the time of the PPA decision, Clapp and Ozonoff acknowledged having benefited from discussions with colleagues at the Tellus Institute.  See Richard W. Clapp & David Ozonoff, “Environment and Health: Vital Intersection or Contested Territory?” 30 Am. J. L. & Med. 189, 189 (2004) (“This Article also benefited from discussions with colleagues in the project on Scientific Knowledge and Public Policy at Tellus Institute, in Boston, Massachusetts.”).

In the infamous case of Selikoff and Motley and their effort to subvert the neutrality of Judge James M. Kelly in the school district asbestos litigation, the conspiracy was detected in time for a successful recusal effort. In re School Asbestos Litigation, 977 F.2d 764 (3d Cir. 1992).  Unfortunately, in the PPA litigation, there was no disclosure of the efforts by the advocacy group, Tellus Institute, to undermine the neutrality of a federal judge. 

Outside observers will draw their own inferences about whether Tellus was an “honest broker” of scientific advice to Judge Rothstein. One piece of evidence may be SKAPP’s website, which contains a page about Richard Clapp’s courtroom advocacy in the PPA litigation. Additional evidence comes from Clapp’s leadership role in Physicians for Social Responsibility, and his own characterization of himself as a healthcare professional advocate. Clapp, a member of Tellus, was an expert witness for plaintiffs in PPA cases.

Was Clapp present at the Tellus Institute meeting attended by Judge Rothstein? History will judge whether the Tellus Institute participated in corrupting the administration of justice.

The Capture of the Public Health Community by the Litigation Industry

February 10th, 2014

The American Public Health Association (APHA) is a significant organization ostensibly committed to the improvement of public health. Among its many activities, the APHA publishes a journal, the American Journal of Public Health.  Here is how the APHA describes itself and its activities to advance public health:

“The American Public Health Association champions the health of all people and all communities. We strengthen the profession of public health, share the latest research and information, promote best practices and advocate for public health issues and policies grounded in research. We are the only organization that combines a 140-plus year perspective, a broad-based member community and the ability to influence federal policy to improve the public’s health.”

How could anyone be against the APHA?

A dubious development in the APHA’s history was its evolution as a tool of the litigation industry.  In 2004, after several years of lobbying, agents of the litigation industry managed to push a policy statement past the Association’s leadership, to condemn the requirement of evidence-based reasoning in federal courts in the United States.

The litigation industry’s victory is memorialized in the “Final Minutes of Meetings of the APHA Governing Council, ” held in November 2004, when the industry’s attack on evidence-based science and data transparency, known as “Policy Number: 2004-11 Threats to Public Health Science,” was adopted as an APHA policy statement.

“2004-11” was published in the American Journal of Public Health and is still available on the APHA website, as Policy Number: 2004-11 Threats to Public Health Science.  I have excerpted contentions and recommendations from the APHA policy, in the left column of the chart, below.  My comments are on the right.

 

APHA Policy

Comment

“Acknowledging that within science, absolute proof and perfect information are rare;” Notice the false dichotomy between absolute proof and perfect information and the entire remaining spectrum of scientific information.  This dichotomization has been part of the litigation strategy of passing off hypotheses, preliminary conclusions, unreplicated findings, etc., as though they were acceptable bases for causal conclusions.
“Recognizing that special interests have exploited the nature of science, specifically scientific uncertainty, to delay protective legal and/or regulatory action;” Notice the asymmetry of the accusations; the APHA apparently has no concern for “special interests” that exploit the nature of science by passing off hypotheses as conclusions, and seek to accelerate protective legal and regulatory action by manufacturing faux scientific conclusions.
“Acknowledging that some public health decisions must be made in the absence of perfect scientific information;” “Le mieux est l’ennemi du bien.” But isn’t the good also the enemy of the shabby, dodgy, and fraudulent? Notice again the false dichotomy between “perfect” information and everything else, as though our failing to achieve the perfect opens the door to the worst. True, of course, that sometimes action is needed on incomplete records, but such action is rarely needed for compensation claims.
“Recognizing that special interests, under the guise of a call for “sound science” have sponsored and promoted changes in public policy that have weakened and continue to threaten public health protections;” If the call for sound science cannot be sustained, then this rhetorical gambit will blowback hard on those “special interests.”  Why are these putative scientists, at APHA, so afraid of sound science?
“Recognizing that special interests have challenged highly regarded public health research and researchers, and inappropriately characterized established scientific methods as ‘junk science’;” Mon Dieu!  How cheeky of those special interests.  See the discussion of Dr. Barry S. Levy, below.
“Recognizing that the Daubert decision has propagated misinterpretations and misapplications of scientific principles relied upon throughout the public health sciences, such as insisting that any epidemiologic study that is relied on to support causation demonstrate a twofold increase in risk as well as a reliance on significance testing to determine which scientific findings are to be allowed as evidence;” This contention misunderstands the basic nature of evidence law. Studies, whether they have statistically significant results, or not, are rarely admissible in evidence.  What is admissible, or not, are opinions of duly qualified expert witnesses, who explain and justify the epistemic warrant for their opinions.  With respect to general causation opinions, expert witnesses will often have to show that they have properly ruled out chance, bias, and confounding to arrive at a causal conclusions.  Significance testing can be abused, in both directions, but the APHA ignores the need for having some quantitative approach to assess random variability. As for relative risks greater than two, the APHA is correct that general causation may often be found with small relative risks, but the attribution of causation in an individual claimant often can be made only on probabilistic inferences that will require relative risks greater than two, or even larger.
“Recognizing that special interests are engaged in a campaign to extend Daubert’s reach to those states that have not embraced prescriptive definitions of scientific reliability.” So the APHA makes common cause with those “special interests,” which would abolish all limits on the admissibility of expert witness opinions, and all normative assessments of scientific research.  This position ignores the prescriptive aspect of methodology, and the nature of epistemic warrant in a methodology.

 

What follows from these contentions? 

“Therefore, APHA:”

“Opposes legislation or administrative policies that attempt to define the characteristics of valid public health science, or dictate prescriptive scientific methodologies; and” Admittedly, defining good science is very difficult, but the law often works like science as defining health as the absence of disease.  There are obviously some well-known pathologies of scientific method, and it hardly seems extravagant to urge courts to avoid flaws, fallacies, and fraud.  
“Supports the efforts of other scientific organizations to promote the government’s ability to utilize the best available science to protect the public’s health; and” Of course, sometimes the “best” available science is rather shabby. 
“Urges friend of the court briefs that address the problem inherent in the adoption of Daubert and Daubert-like court rulings, the application of Daubert in regulatory proceedings, and when judges misinterpret scientific evidence in their implementation of the Daubert ruling.” We do not see many APHA-types deploring jury verdicts that offend scientific sensibilities; and so the APHA’s urging here seems again rather one-sided and partisan.  The fact, however, that judges’ misinterpretations of scientific evidence can be criticized publicly is one of the key differences that separates judicial gatekeeping from the black box of jury determinations.

In 2005, the APHA published, in its journal, APJH, a special supplement, “Scientific Evidence and Public Policy,” with

“academic analysis of the conflicts arising in the use of science in regulatory, civil and criminal proceedings. This special issue examines how recent developments in the legal and regulatory arenas have emboldened corporations involved in civil litigation and regulatory proceedings to accuse adversaries of practicing ‘junk science’.”

Apparently, the APHA was not, and is not, concerned with the emboldening the  litigation industry and its efforts to subvert the truth-finding function of civil litigation. 

David Michaels served as the guest editor for the APJH supplement.  Michaels repeated many of the contentions of the 2004 Policy Statement, above, and he added some new ones of his own:

  • Judges are no better than juries in assessing scientific evidence.
  • Scientists evaluate all the evidence by applying a “weight-of-the-evidence” approach.
  • Uncertainty in science is normal and does not mean the underlying science flawed.

David Michaels, “Editorial: Scientific Evidence and Public Policy,” 95 (Supp. 1) Am. J. Pub. Health S5 (2005). These are all serious half truths.  Many judges are quite astute when evaluating scientific evidence, but even the lowest aptitude judges must give articulated reasons for their decisions, which opens up a public process of comment, correction, and criticism.  Juries vote in secret, without having to explain or justify their verdicts.  Scientists, metaphorically speaking, weigh evidence, as do non-scientists, but this opaque metaphor hardly explicates the process of how scientists arrive at conclusions about causal relationships.  And uncertainty is a condition of many scientific fields, but the error lies in trying to pass off tentative, uncertain, preliminary observations and findings as knowledge.

Michaels sees the development of judicial gatekeeping as favoring “the powerful,” and hurting “the weak and vulnerable.” Id. Michaels did not seem to mind if his editorial recommendations favored the litigation industry and hurt the truth.  He now heads up the Occupational Health & Safety Administration.

Here is how Michaels and the APHA described the funding for the AJPH supplement:

“Support for the supplement was provided through unrestricted funding to the Project on Scientific Knowledge and Public Policy (SKAPP) from the Common Benefit Litigation Trust, a fund established by court order in the Silicone Gel Breast Implant Products Liability Litigation. SKAPP is an initiative of scholars that examines the application of scientific evidence in the legal and regulatory arenas. SKAPP is based at the George Washington University School of Public Health and Health Services; more information is available at www.DefendingScience.org.”

See APHA website <http://www.apha.org/about/news/pressreleases/2005/05arenas.htm>, last visited on February 10, 2014.

This pseudo-disclosure is perhaps the most fraudulent aspect of the entire APHA enterprise.  The Common Benefit Trust was a fund that was held back from settlement monies paid by defendants in the silicone gel breast implant litigation.  The Trust was nothing more than the Plaintiffs’ Steering Committee’s war chest, from which it could advance litigation goals within MDL 926 (silicone breast implant cases).  Ironically, the appointment of neutral, court-appointed expert witnesses led to the triumph of “sound science,” and the collapse of the plaintiffs’ counsel house of cards.  Rather than returning their litigation expense fund to the claimants, the plaintiffs’ counsel found a more worthwhile recipient — SKAPP — to advance their litigation goals, if not for MDL 926, then for the next MDL, and the next, and the next….  See SKAPP A LOT; and Conflicted Public Interest Groups.

* * * * * * *

The same year that the APHA published the SKAPP-inspired and funded challenges to Federal Rules of Evidence 702, the APHA awarded its most prestigious award, the Sedgwick Medal, to a physician whose opinions had routinely been found to be unreliable and irrelevant in various litigation industry efforts. “Barry Levy Wins APHA’s Oldest and Most Prestigious Award, the Sedgwick Medal.” (December 11, 2005).

Perhaps the APHA had Levy in mind when it complained that “special interests have challenged highly regarded public health … researchers….”  Dr. Levy seems to have less favorable accolades from trial and appellate judges.  For instance, one federal judge found Levy engaged in a dubious enterprise to manufacture silicosis claims in Mississippi.  In re Silica Products Liability Litigation, 398 F. Supp. 2d 563, 611-16, 622 & n.100 (S.D. Texas 2005) (expressing particular disappointment with Dr. Barry Levy, who although not the worst offender of a bad lot of physicians, betrayed his “sterling credentials” in a questionable enterprise to manufacture diagnoses of silicosis for litigation).[1] Interestingly, Judge Jack’s opinion was not mentioned in the APHA press release for Dr. Levy’s award ceremony.



[1] See Schachtman, Silica Litigation: Screening, Scheming & Suing; Washington Legal Foundation Critical Legal Issues Working Paper Series No. 135 (Dec. 2005) (exploring the ethical and legal implications of the entrepreneurial litigation in which Levy and others were involved). See also Lofgren v. Motorola, Inc., 1998 WL 299925, No. CV 93-05521 (Ariz. Super. Ct., Maricopa Cty. June 1, 1998); Harman v. Lipari, N.J. L. Div. GLO-L-1375-95, Order of Nov. 3, 2000 (Tomasello, J.) (barring the use of Barry Levy in class action for medical monitoring damages); Castellow v. Chevron USA, 97 F.Supp. 2d 780, 793-95 (S.D. Tex. 2000); Knight v. Kirby Inland Marine Inc., 482 F.3d 347 (5th Cir. 2007); Watts v. Radiator Specialty Co., 990 So. 2d 143 (Miss. 2008); Aurand v. Norfolk So. Ry., 802 F.Supp.2d 950 (2011); Mallozzi v. Ecosmart Technologies, Inc., 2013 WL 2415677, No. 11-CV-2884 (SJF)(ARL) (E.D.N.Y. May 31, 2013).

Conflicted Public Interest Groups

November 3rd, 2013

The current “wisdom”:

“Conflict of interest in science is a very important issue, and it is a very big problem, because if uncontrolled, it can lead to biased, misleading and even false opinions about scientific evidence.” Dariusz Leszczynski, “Conflicting statements by the two experts of the Royal Society of Canada,” (Nov. 1, 2013)

This statement and the remainder of the blog post is an example of the current obsession and delusion over conflicts of interest (COIs).  COIs do not lead to false opinions (assuming an opinion can be false); fraud, misrepresentation, errors in data collection and analyses, fallacies, and inferential mistakes are what lead to misleading and false statements in science.  COIs may perhaps trigger greater scrutiny for error, but there is nothing in a COI disclosure, or lack of disclosure, that helps us ascertain the validity vel non of a study.

In a recent post, Celeste Monforton, of George Washington University School of Public Health & Health Services, wrote about conflicts of interest and the recent Georgia-Pacific decision out of the First Department of the New York Appellate Division, Weitz & Luxenberg P.C. v. Georgia–Pacific LLC, 2013 WL 2435565 (N.Y. App. Div., 1st Dep’t June 6, 2013).  Monforton, “Thou dost protest too much. Let the disclosure chips fall where they may” (Oct. 28, 2013).

The bashing of Georgia-Pacific is based upon rather dodgy factual and hypocritical ethical analyses. Historically, authors did not disclose their COIs.  In the polarized, political world of occupational safety, studies funded or sponsored by industry, labor unions, plaintiffs’ counsel, or their proxies were rarely or never accompanied by disclosures of COIs. To be sure, current ethical guidelines emphasize the importance of disclosure, but not limited to financial conflicts.  Committee on Publication Ethics.  If positional and political conflicts of interest were disclosed, we might actual shine light where it is needed, but I suspect Monforton would not be happy with that sort of illumination.

Georgia-Pacific has found itself in a controversy that is driven by one-sided emphasis on industry funding, without a balanced attention to sponsorship by advocacy groups, the litigation industry (a/k/a the “the trial bar”).  If Monforton is willing to let the chips fall where they may, she will welcome the attention to her own COIs and the COIs of her advocacy organization, The Project on Scientific Knowledge and Public Policy” (SKAPP).

Celeste Monforton is on the staff of SKAPP, which purports to support the examination of science and “how it is used and misused in government decision-making and legal proceedings.”  SKAPP funds scholarship and research designed to promote “transparent decision-making, based on the best available science, to protect public health.”  In other words, SKAPP supports “progressive,” pro-labor, anti-industry, science results, often without regard to the niceties of proper methodology.

The SKAPP website tells us that this organization is guided and supported by an advisory committee, consisting of:

Eula Bingham, PhD
Les Boden, PhD
Richard Clapp, DSc, MPH
Polly Hoppin, ScD
Sheldon Krimsky, PhD
David Michaels, PhD, MPH
David Ozonoff, MD, MPH
Anthony Robbins, MD, MPA

Clapp is a regular testifying witness for the litigation industry. Michaels testified for the litigation industry before President Obama appointed him to be the OSHA Administrator. Ozonoff and Bingham have also shown up in litigation, always on the plaintiffs’ side.  Krimsky has been unremitting scold of industry-sponsored science. Robbins was the physician invited to the American Law Institute meeting, where he criticized a draft of the Restatement (Third) of Torts: Liability for Physical and Emotional Harm and accused the ALI of not understanding scientific principles or knowing what it was talking about. 79th Annual Meeting, 2002 A.L.I. PROC. at 294. See Michael D. Green, “Pessimism about Milward,” 3 Wake Forest J. L & Policy 41 (2013). Professor Green, however, has given a thorough rebuttal to Robbins’ partisan and ad hominem criticisms, which suggest that it was Robbins who did not know what he was talking about.  SeeMilward’s Singular Embrace of Comment C (May 4, 2013).

And whence comes the funding for SKAPP’s one-sided advocacy? At its inception, for some time afterwards, SKAPP was funded by the litigation industry, from a walking-around fund of the plaintiffs’ lawyers in the silicone gel breast implant litigation. SKAPP misleadingly continues to represent this funding as “a fund established pursuant to a court order in the Silicone Gel Breast Implant Products Liability litigation,” but the fund is nothing more than the fund that exists in virtually every multi-district litigation to allow plaintiffs’ counsel to find and pay expert witnesses, conduct studies, and engage in other activities for the common benefit of the plaintiff-litigants. SKAPP a Lot (April 30, 2010).

The funding ruse by SKAPP raises the question what other “public interest” groups are proxies for the litigation industry?  Consider for instance, Public Citizen, which describes itself, on its website, as follows:

“Public Citizen serves as the people’s voice in the nation’s capital. ***

For four decades, we have proudly championed citizen interests before Congress, the executive branch agencies and the courts. We have successfully challenged the abusive practices of the pharmaceutical, nuclear and automobile industries, and many others. We are leading the charge against undemocratic trade agreements that advance the interests of mega-corporations at the expense of citizens worldwide.
* * *
Public Citizen is a nonprofit organization that does not participate in partisan political activities or endorse any candidates for elected office. We accept no government or corporate money – we rely solely on foundation grants, publication sales and support from our 300,000 members.”

As it turns out, this group does take corporate money, but selectively from the litigation industry itself.  A recent newsletter from Public Citizen (May 2013) highlighted the prevalence of several magnates and trade organizations (AAJ) of the litigation industry among the names of large donors:

the Attorneys Information Exchange Group (one of the AAJ’s operating groups); Patrick Malone (plaintiffs’ personal injury lawyer);

I suspect that you will not find many publications or positions from Public Citizen that challenge “the abusive practices of the” litigation industry.

The point is, of course, that there are plenty of conflicts to go around, and so little valid data and analysis. The Monfortons of the world have used COI rhetoric to chill freedom of speech and to bias the discussion towards their preferred outcomes.

Harkonen’s Appeal Updated

October 9th, 2013

The Solicitor General’s office has obtained yet another extension in which to file its opposition to Dr. Harkonen’s petition for a writ of certiorari. The new due date is November 8, 2013.

This week, Nature published a news article on the Harkonen case. See Ewen Callaway, “Uncertainty on trial,” 502 Nature 17 (2013).  Mr. Calloway’s story accurately recounts that Thomas Fleming, a biostatistician at the University of Washington, chaired the data safety monitoring board for the InterMune trial, and that he had told Dr. Harkonen and others at InterMune that he, Fleming, believed that the press release was misleading.   But this “fact” simply represents that Fleming disagreed with the causal inference of efficacy.  His opinion might well have been correct, but it did not make Dr. Harkonen’s press release “demonstrably” false.  Overstating confidence in a conclusion may be the occasion for disputing the evidentiary warrant for the conclusion, but it does not make the speaker a liar.

Calloway also reports that the government believed that documents suggested that there had been off-label promotion of interferon γ-1b, but of course, the jury acquitted Dr. Harkonen of mislabeling.  Calloway’s recitation of  these discredited allegations, however, provide important context for why the federal government continues to overreach by pressing its opposition to Dr. Harkonen’s appeal on the conviction for criminal wire fraud.

Mr. Calloway notes that there were “statisticians, clinical researchers and legal scholars” who criticized the judgment of conviction on grounds that it rested upon misinterpretations and misunderstandings of statistics, and that it could criminalize much expert witness testimony, grant applications, and article submissions. But Mr. Calloway’s presentation is subtly biased.  He fails to identify those “statisticians, clinical researchers and legal scholars,” other than a few whom he then impugns as having been “compensated” by the defense.

He quotes Stanford Professor Steven Goodman as filing a brief stating that:

“You don’t want to have on the books a conviction for a practice that many scientists do, and in fact think is critical to medical research… .”

Calloway errs in suggesting that Professor Goodman was a brief writer rather than an affiant.  Dr. Zibrak, a pulmonary physician is quoted, with the note that he was compensated to tell other physicians about his clinical experience with interferon γ-1b in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.  By playing the “compensation card,” Calloway tries to diminish the force of Goodman’s and Zibrak’s substantive arguments.  This sly attempt, however, is blunted by the significant number of legal scholars and scientists who filed amicus briefs without compensation.  More important, the attempt is irrelevant to the issues in the case.

MISLEADING REPORTING

Calloway described the trial as showing that only “slightly fewer” patients had died on interferon γ-1b than on placebo, but that the difference was not statistically significant “because the probability that it was not due to the drug was greater than 5%, a widely accepted statistical threshold.”  Well, the p-value was 0.08 on the intent-to-treat analysis, and 0.055 on the per-protocol analysis.  When the investigators published a more sophisticated time-to-event analysis in the New England Journal of Medicine, their reported “hazard ratio for death in the interferon gamma-1b group, as compared with the placebo group, was 0.3 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.1 to 0.9).” Raghu et al. N. Engl. J. Med. 350, 125–133; 2004 (for the entire trial, not the “controversial” subgroup).  Calloway notes the publication of the results, but fails to inform the Nature readers of this hazard ratio or the confidence interval.  Some might say that Mr. Calloway misled readers by inaptly describing this hazard ratio as “slightly fewer” deaths on interferon γ-1b than placebo, and by failing to provide all the pertinent information.

Oh; wait. Is failure to present all the facts, fraud???

TRANSPOSITION FALLACY

Perhaps more ironic was that Mr. Calloway’s interpretation of statistical significance is wrong. The p-value is not the “probability that it was not due to the drug” or the probability that the null hypothesis is true.  Good thing that Mr. Calloway does not live in the United States where statistical errors of this sort can be a criminal offense.

The Nature news story quoted Gordon Guyatt, from McMaster University, who thinks that Dr. Harkonen skewed the findings:

“This guy gave a very unbalanced presentation; whether it is sufficiently unbalanced that you should send him to jail, I don’t know… .”

But the data were all accurately presented; it was the use of the verb “demonstrate,” which triggered the prosecution.  And it was hardly a “presentation”; it was a press release, which clearly communicated that a presentation was forthcoming within a couple of weeks at a scientific conference.

The story also cites Patricia Zettler, a former FDA attorney, who now teaches at Stanford Law School, for her doubts that the case will matter to most scientists.  See also Zettle, “U.S. v. Harkonen: Should Scientists Worry About Being Prosecuted for How They Interpret Their Research Results?” (Oct. 7, 2013).  If her prediction is correct, then this is a sad commentary on the scientific community.  Ms. Zettler suggests that the Supreme Court is likely to deny the petition, and leave Dr. Harkonen’s conviction in place, and that this denial will not seriously affect scientific discourse.  If this suggestion is true, then courts will have acquiesced in a very selective prosecution, given the widespread prevalence of the statistical reporting practices that were on trial here.

As much as everyone would like to see editors, scientists, governments, companies, and universities held to higher standards in science reporting, criminalizing the commonplace because the speaker is an unpopular scientist who has a commercial, as well as a scientific, interest is profoundly disturbing.  Ultimately, all scientists, from private or public sectors, from academic or non-academic institutions, have financial or reputational interests to be advanced in their communication of scientific results.

The irony is that many federal judges would not exclude an expert witness who would testify under oath to a conclusion based upon much weaker evidence than Dr. Harkonen presented in a press release, and which announced a much fuller discussion at an upcoming scientific conference in a couple of weeks.  If Ms. Zettler is correct, it will be much more difficult for federal and state trial judges to reject challenges to expert witness testimony based upon statistically “non-significant” results, with the old “goes to the weight, not the admissibility” excuse.

Conflicts of Interest in Asbestos Studies – the Plaintiffs’ Double Standard

September 18th, 2013

Conflicts of interest disclosures have become the stuff of “criminal” accusations.  In Weitz & Luxenberg P.C. v. Georgia–Pacific LLC, 2013 WL 2435565 (N.Y. App. Div., 1st Dep’t June 6, 2013), the court recited a defense expert witness’s failure to disclose his expert witness status in articles as part of a determination that a prima facie showing of “crime-fraud” had been made to justify the trial court’s in camera review of materials claimed to be protected from discovery under the attorney-client privilege:

“Nor did the articles reveal that Dr. Bernstein has been disclosed as a GP expert witness in NYCAL since 2009, that he had testified as a defense expert for Union Carbide Corporation in asbestos litigation, or that he had been paid by, and spoken on behalf of, the Chrysotile Institute, the lobbying arm of the Quebec chrysotile mining industry.”

Id. at *2. In “A Cautionary Tale on How Not to Sponsor a Scientific Study for Litigation,” I wrote about how the First Department of the New York Appellate Division went off the rails in considering the crime-fraud exception without first determining that the privilege applied in the first place.  The appellate court’s reasoning as to why the trial court should look for an exception was equally vacuous.  If failure to disclose consulting or testifying for attorneys is a “crime” or a “fraud,” then the playing field should be level and the indictment should apply to all sides.

Steve Markowitz is a physician with Queens College, City University of New York.  Dr. Markowitz testifies for plaintiffs, both here in New York City, and abroad, in asbestos personal injury cases.  See, e.g., Wannall v. Honeywell International Inc., 2013 WL 1966060 (D.D.C. May 14, 2013) (excluding Markowitz’ testimony as unreliable).  So the plaintiffs’ bar, which would equate failure to disclose consulting with “crime” or “fraud,” should be on the alert that Dr. Markowitz does not disclose his consulting arrangements in publications that bear on the issues covered by his testimony.

I blogged previously about an in-press version of Markowitz’s publication of an update of the epidemiologic study of North American insulators. SeeThe Mt. Sinai Catechism” (June 7, 2013). The paper is now out in final form, although behind a paywall.  Steven B. Markowitz, Steven M. Levin, Albert A. Miller, and Alfred Morabia, “Asbestos, asbestosis, smoking, and lung cancer. New findings from the North American insulator cohort,” 188 Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med. 90 (2013).  What is publicly available, however, are the disclosure statements for each of the authors. Lo, and behold, Dr. Markowitz declared no consultations that could be a potential conflict of interest.

This is a remarkable double standard.  Consulting for a defendant is a “crime,” if not disclosed, but plaintiffs’ testifying expert witnesses do not feel the need to disclose their consultancies at all.  What is more remarkable, however, is that the authors of this article strained and stretched their data to try to save their synergy theory.  Even the editorial that accompanied the article, while generally reciting the Mt. Sinai catechism, noted that the synergistic, multiplicative interaction was no longer so clear: “asbestos exposure and smoking together are associated with an at least additive increased risk.  …” John R. Balmes, “Asbestos and Lung Cancer: What We Know,” 188 Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med. 8,9 (2013).

The only reason that I harp on conflicts is that the Third Edition of the Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence (2011) improvidently started down this road, as have several federal district and state court judges, including the judges who sat on the First Department panel, which decided Weitz & Luxenberg P.C. v. Georgia–Pacific LLC.  I believe that the focus should be on the data and the analysis, not on the speaker.  If the courts insist upon creating this toxic environment for scientists who “consult,” then the toxicity should be visited on all parties’ expert witnesses equally.

The Rhetoric and Challenge of Conflicts of Interest

July 30th, 2013

The Challenge

Critics and anti-industry zealots have argued that industry-sponsored science is vitiated by conflicts of interest.  The critics of industry research have supported their attack with studies that claim to show that industry studies disproportionately report outcomes favorable to their sponsors.

The potential conflicts posed by industry-sponsored research studies are fairly obvious.  Industries that make or sell products, raw materials, or chemicals have an interest in having toxicological and epidemiologic studies support claims of safety.  Research that suggests an industry’s product causes harm may hurt the industry’s financial interests directly by inhibiting sales, or indirectly by undermining the industry’s position in litigation, or by leading to greater regulatory scrutiny and control.  If the harm evidenced by the research is sufficiently severe, the research may lead to product recall or bans, again with serious economic consequences for the industry.  Evidence of harm may require heightened warnings or instructions, which may limit sales or encourage sales of competing, less hazardous products.

The Response.

The answer to the anti-industry challenge lies in a reality more complicated and nuanced that the simplistic views of the critics.  Industry often must conduct or sponsor research to live up to its common law or regulatory duties to test its products.  At other times, industry sponsors research in response to emerging scientific papers that claim that the industry product is harmful in ways not previously known.  While on occasion, industry might be accused of “manufacturing doubt[1],” there are scientists equally intent upon “manufacturing certainty,” whether from dodgy data or iffy inferences.

The motives and interests of scientists intent on manufacturing a faux certainty are harder to discern than the potential conflicts of industry and scientists who are funded by industry.  Many scientists purport to have only the lofty goals of science or the public interest at heart in pursuing their research, but a close look shows that there are several potential conflicts of interest prevalent in the research community, and that these interests help shape science into anti-industry positions.

1.  White Hat Bias

Over 20 years ago, a science journalist published an account of how dire predictions of asbestos deaths had not come to pass.  Tom Reynolds, “Asbestos-Linked Cancer Rates Up Less Than Predicted,” 84 J. Nat’l Cancer Instit. 560 (1992).  In trying to understand why the earlier predictions had been disconfirmed by later data, Reynolds quoted one scientist as saying that:

“the government’s exaggeration of the asbestos danger reflects a 1970s’ Zeitgeist that developed partly in response to revelations of industry misdeeds.  ‘It was sort of the “in” thing to exaggerate … [because] that would be good for the environmental movement’….  ‘At the time it looked like you were wearing a white hat if you made these wild estimates. But I wasn’t sure whoever did that was doing all that much good.”

Id. at 562.  Reynolds captured the essence of “white-hat” bias, a form of political correctness applied to issues that really depend upon scientific method and data for their resolution.

More recently, David Allison and Mark Cope, two public health researchers described[2] white-hat bias as a prevalent cognitive bias in how research is reported and interpreted.  They described white-hat bias as a “bias leading to the distortion of information in the service of what may be perceived to be righteous ends.” Perhaps the temptation to overstate the evidence against a toxic substance is unavoidable, but it diminishes the authority and credibility of regulators entrusted with promulgating and enforcing protective measures.  And error is still error, regardless of its origin.  Allison and Cope give examples of white-hat bias in how papers are cited, with “exonerative” studies cited less often than those than claim harmful outcomes.  And when positive papers were cited, they were often interpreted misleadingly to overstate the harms previously reported.

2. Other “Interested” Actors Who Sponsor and Conduct Scientific Research

The discussion and debate surrounding industry sponsorship of scientific research often ignores the activities of other, intensely interested sponsors and researchers.  Labor unions, for instance, have sponsored research on occupational hazards.  Evidence of harm often becomes potent ammunition in labor-management negotiations over work conditions and wages.  Environmental groups have sponsored studies with sympathetic researchers who are openly eager to embarrass industrial interests and support increasing regulatory restrictions or bans on chemicals or products.  Plaintiffs’ counsel may well be the largest rent-seeking group in the United States, and they have sponsored studies with the implicit or explicit goal of supporting their claims for compensation.  Disease support groups, often aligned with plaintiffs’ counsel, have sponsored research, to support their claims for compensation and fees, the more, the better.  Scientists and physicians who serve as expert witnesses for plaintiffs’ counsel have undertaken research to advance and support their testimonial enterprise in the litigation brought by the counsel who engaged them to testify.

3.  Regulatory Biases

Many scientists are funded by regulatory agencies intent upon showing harm from particularly exposures or industrial processes.  The agencies may be motivated by their desire to expand their regulatory control under their statutory mandate by having scientific evidence that fits their political and regulatory goals.  Some scientists may be politically aligned, or simply believe that the public interest requires the sought after enhanced regulation.

4.  Publication Bias

“Null” studies, studies that do not find a statistical significant increased risk of harm from exposure, do not sell.  More to the point, null studies do not routinely get published.  Spending substantial amounts of time on a study without obtaining an outcome that will make the study publishable is a sure-fire way to sideline one’s academic career.  Publications are the measurable units of success in academic circles.  Publications beget future grants and funding, which further enhance academic reputation and careers.

The pressure on researchers to find some untoward outcome from research on a potential toxic material or product is great.  As John Ioannides and others have shown, prevalent research methods encourage technique that will lead to some findings.  For instance, an epidemiologic cohort study will compare a group with and without exposure, but will look at multiple health outcomes.  Perhaps there was an a priori hunch that lung cancer rates would be increased among the exposed group, but the researchers also looked at a 100 other cancers, and perhaps another 100 other non-malignant diseases, in the study.  Chance alone would have led to several statistically significant findings of increased disease outcomes among the exposed group, and researchers can publish these findings that encourages readers to believe that they were the subject of the research all along.

Similarly, case-control studies can collect cases of a disease of interest and compare them with non-diseased controls in terms of dozens if not hundreds of prior exposures and life-style variables.  Again, the researchers can report the exposures and variables statistically significantly associated with the disease, and neglect to report all those not associated.[3]

5. Biased Studies with Biased Outcomes, Making Biased Claims

The critics of industry-sponsored studies have themselves conducted “studies of studies,” to assess whether sponsorship correlated with outcomes favorable to the sponsor.  These studies of studies claim to find that industry studies invariably or disproportionately favor their sponsors’ interests, but these studies of studies are themselves critically flawed by selection bias.[4]

To understand the selection bias involved, we need only pay attention to the conditions that lead industry to conduct the study.  In connection with potential toxicities of chemicals or products, industry  often is responding to an emerging scientific literature that claims the industrial materials cause harm.  If the studies that claim harm are clearly valid, there is likely to be no counter-study undertaken.  In this scenario, the anti-industry critics will find no industry study for inclusion in their analysis of whether industry studies are correlated with a favorable outcome.

Studies with doubtful data or overstretched conclusions are more likely to provoke an industrial concern into sponsoring research, and given the inciting condition, we should not be surprised that outcome is more favorable to industry than the previously published studies.    Studies ultimately favorable to the defense are thus counted in the “studies of studies,” but given the circumstances that led to the sponsorship, the imbalance in the results is exactly what we should expect to see. Of course, if the study somehow supports the prior findings, the critics of industry will claim that the industry-sponsored study is an “admission” of harm.  Inconclusive or exonerative studies will be dismissed by these critics as uninformative or vitiated by conflicts of interest.

There are many examples of how this selection bias plays out. In the early days of the silicone gel breast implant litigation, ostensibly neutral researchers published papers that claimed an association between silicone implants and scleroderma.  See Harry Spiera, “Scleroderma After Silicone Augmentation Mammoplasty,” 260 J. Am. Med. Ass’n 236 (1988).  These papers led to an FDA-imposed moratorium, which in turn instigated a litigation tsunami.  The then current and former manufacturers of silicone implants sponsored several epidemiologic studies.  Although the companies engaged reputable researchers from the leading medical research centers in the United States, public-interest advocates such as Sidney Wolfe decried the “biased” industry-financed research that came out.  Not surprisingly, the sponsored studies mostly exonerated any causal role of silicone in producing autoimmune diseases.

The biases of the physicians who supported the alleged causal association were much more difficult to ferret out.  Many of the physicians adopted pro-causation views to attract patients from the many support “victim” support groups, and many of the scientists who advocated pro-causation opinions sought to market test kits that would identify biomarkers of a unique silicone-induced disease.  The house of cards created by the support groups and plaintiffs’ counsel ultimately collapsed when court-appointed expert witnesses and the Institute of Medicine examined the evidence closely.  Today, the entire episode can be chalked up mostly to litigation fraud.  See Hon. Judge Jack B. Weinstein, “Preliminary Reflections on Administration of Complex Litigation.” Cardozo Law Review DeNovo 1, 14 (2009) (“[t]he breast implant litigation was largely based on a litigation fraud. …  Claims—supported by medical charlatans—that enormous damages to women’s systems resulted could not be supported.”).

Another example is provided by the welding fume litigation.  In 2001, Dr. Brad Racette published a case series that he erroneously called a case-control study, which purported to find an earlier age of onset for Parkinson’s disease among welders.  In 2005, working in cooperation with plaintiffs’ counsel, Racette transmuted litigation screenings into a cross-sectional study, which purported to find an increased prevalence ratio of “parkinsonism” among welders.  Both studies were seriously flawed, but the plaintiffs’ counsels’ use of Racette’s studies created an incentive for industry to sponsor several studies.  The plaintiffs’ counsel blasted the industry defendants for “manufacturing doubt,” but in fact, the industry-sponsored studies were valid scientific efforts, conducted by respected epidemiologists.  The industry sponsored studies were corroborated several times over by governmentally sponsored studies, conducted in the United States and abroad.  A meta-analysis published last year by well-regarded neuroepidemiologists ultimately vindicated the industry position, as well as the industry-sponsored studies.  See James Mortimer, Amy Borenstein, and Lorene Nelson, “Associations of welding and manganese exposure with Parkinson disease: Review and meta-analysis,” 79 Neurology 1174 (2012) (reporting a statistically significant decreased risk of Parkinson’s disease among welding tradesmen).

In the pharmaceutical industry, publications will invariably show outcomes favorable to drug sponsors.  New drugs that fail to show efficacy in clinical trials will not likely be written about because the sponsor will not file an application for regulatory approval.  Writing up the clinical trials for publication typically is part of the process of seeking regulatory approval, and the publication effort is not undertaken unless there is a reasonable chance of approval.  Unremarkably, the published papers describing these clinical trials disproportionately show efficacy and manageable side effects.

 

6. Hypocrisy Over Conflicts of Interest

The persistence in ignoring non-financial conflict of interests is not innocent.  By elevating financial conflicts of interest, public advocates attempt to silence industry and discount industry-sponsored studies.  The single-minded focus on financial conflicts of interest misdirects attention away from the existence of other sorts of biases, and the distortions they create.[5]

Conflicts of interest have thus largely and incorrectly been reduced to financial conflicts.  For instance, in 2011, the National Institutes of Health (NIH) addressed only financial issues when it promulgated rules for managing conflicts of interest in the field of medical research.[6]  Several commentators advocated regulation of non-financial COI, but the agency refused to include such conflicts within its rules.[7] The Institute of Medicine (IOM), in a monograph on conflicts of interest in medicine, similarly gave almost exclusive priority to financial ties.[8]

The focus on economic conflicts of interest is dangerous because it instills complacency about non-financial interests, and provides a false sense of assurance that the most serious biases are disclosed or eliminated.  One need only consider the many examples of retractions, frauds, and ethical lapses in biomedical research to understand that non-financial interests, such as friendships and alliances, institutional hierarchies, intellectual biases and commitments, beneficence, “white-hat” advocacy, as well as the drive for professional achievement, recognition, and rewards, all have the potential to complicate, distort, and sometimes undermine scientific research in myriad ways. The failure to recognize and regulate non-economic conflicts and biases endangers the validity of science.  Not only are these non-financial threats ignored, but financial interests receive undue attention, resulting in the erosion of public trust in scientific research that is sound.

 

The Cure

1. Push Back Against the Rhetoric of Conflicts of Interest

Industry should not be cowed by the anti-industry attack on industry-sponsored studies.  Twenty years ago, one of the leading epidemiologists, Professor Kenneth Rothman, referred to the anti-industry bias as “new McCarthyism in science.[9]”  This intolerance toward corporate sponsorship has been going on for some time, fueled by one-sided accounts of industry-sponsored studies.  As noted by one of the leading 20th century epidemiologists, “an opinion should be evaluated on the basis of its contents, not on the interests or credentials of the individuals who hold it.[10]”  Courageously, some scientists have fought for science to be judged on its merits.[11]

Professor Stossel and others created an organization, ACRE – The Association of Clinical Researchers and Educators, to defend legitimate interactions between Physicians and Industry. ACRE has spoken out against the lopsided demonization of the pharmaceutical industry, and the lionizing of the industry’s critics.  A few years ago, a scientist working for the pharmaceutical industry, joined Professor Rothman, to cry out against the unfairness and partiality of journals’ conflict-of-interest rules and policies.[12]  Dr. Hirsch published a strongly worded commentary that journals’ concerns are often poorly disguised prejudices against industry.  Many of the journals in question rarely or never fuss over the obvious conflicts of interest created by the “profit motive” of researchers who want to climb the academic ladder, increase their salaries, enlarge their budgets, extend their influence, travel to organizational conferences, bolster their prestige, win more grants, enhance their reputations, or advance their political goals or ideologies.

The medical profession, the courts, and the public are seriously misled by the obsession with conflicts of interest, on either side.  The obsession allows a disclosed or undisclosed conflict of interest to substitute for the much harder work of considering the merits of a study.



[1] David Michaels, Doubt is Their Product (2008).

[2] Mark B. Cope and David B. Allison, “White hat bias: examples of its presence in obesity research and a call for renewed commitment to faithfulness in research reporting,” 34 Internat’l J. Obesity 84 (2010).

[3] The works of John Ioannides explore the problem of false discovery rate and publication practices that encourage error.  See N. S. Young, J. P. Ioannidis and O. Al-Ubaydli, 2008. Why current publication practices may distort science. PLoS Medicine5e20.

[4] Miquel Porta, Sander Greenland, and John M. Last, eds., A Dictionary of Epidemiology 225-26 (5th ed. 2008).

[5] Richard S. Saver, “Is It Really All About The Money? Reconsidering Non-Financial Interests In Medical Research,” 40 J. L. Med. & Ethics 467 (2012).

[6] Department of Health and Human Services, “Responsibility of Applicants for Promoting Objectivity in Research for Which Public Health Service Funding is Sought and Responsible Prospective Contractors,” 76 Fed. Reg. 53256 (Aug. 25, 2011).

[7] Id. at 53258.

[8] Institute of Medicine, Conflict of Interest in Medical Research, Education, and Practice (Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press, 2009).

[9] Kenneth J. Rothman, “Conflict of interest: the new McCarthyism in science,” 269 J. Am. Med. Ass’n 2782 (1993).

[10] Brian MacMahon, “Epidemiology:  another perspective,” 37 Internat’l J. Epidem. 1192, 1192 (2008).

[11] See Thomas P. Stossel, “Has the hunt for conflicts of interest gone too far?” 336 Brit. Med. J. 476 (2008); Nature Publishing Group, “Nothing to see here: based on one company’s past poor publishing practices, a top-tier medical journal misguidedly stigmatizes any paper from industry,” 26 Nature Biotechnol. 476 (2008); Kenneth J. Rothman & S. Evans, “Extra scrutiny for industry funded trials: JAMA’s demand for an additional hurdle is unfair–and absurd, 331 Brit. Med. J. 1350 (2005), and 332 Brit. Med. J. 151 (2006) (erratum).

[12] Laurence J. Hirsch, “Conflicts of Interest, Authorship, and Disclosures in Industry-Related Scientific Publications: The Tort Bar and Editorial Oversight of Medical Journals,” 84 Mayo Clin. Proc. 811 (2009).