The United States is in political crisis as its citizens are frogmarched into an authoritarian, illiberal, and unlawful dystopia. The seriousness of the political situation makes it difficult to focus on scientific issues, but as with past fascist regimes in history, the crisis is not limited to any one sphere of life in the United States.

Scholars of fascism have pointed out that not all fascist regimes are the same, but there are some key features that give them all a family resemblance. In the political realm, fascist leaders point to an idyllic history, however mythical or false, in which the country was once great. The greatness has been eroded and squandered by the country’s enemies, internal and external. Confronting enemies within and without is an emergency, which cannot be addressed within the rule of law. Only an authoritarian leader can fix it by suspending the rule of law.

Fascism does not operate solely in the political sphere, but insists upon ideological purity in art, culture, education, business, finance, military, law, and science.[1]

Yes, even science. Nazi Germany had its bogus science of racial purity. The Soviet Union had its Lysenkoism. Theocratic fascist regimes, such as Iran or the United States, have their “god talk” and blasphemy squads, which suppress scientific curiosity, experimentation, and development, except for the creation of weapons (where replicability, validity, and predictive accuracy really matter).

There are various reasons for Felonious Trump’s election, but the epistemic sin of credulousness of the American people is certainly one of them. We are living in Orwell’s 1984 world where many people have been tethered to TV screens to receive their daily influx of state-approved propaganda. Character for truth has ceased to be a virtue. “And even truth can become a lie in the mouth of a born liar.”[2]

The credulity of the American people has manifested as distrust in scientific expertise and willingness to believe charlatans such as Robert Kennedy, Jr. The phenomenon of transferring trust from legitimate scientists to charlatans is probably one of the clearest and strongest symptom of our current malaise.

Professor Arthur L. Caplan[3] is a scientist and medical ethicist who has never been shy about asking discomforting questions. Not surprisingly, Caplan has spoken out against some of the bone-headed anti-science actions of the present regime in Washington.[4]

In an essay entitled “How Stupid has Science Been?” Caplan asks:

“So how can U.S. President Trump, Secretary of Health Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., or Director of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Mehmet Oz and their enthusiastic followers be succeeding in defunding research and installing ideological oversight and censorship that is crushing science, technology and engineering and will for many years to come?”[5]

Caplan blames the scientific community itself, in part, for the current crisis by disparaging and discouraging scientists from engaging with the public. Obviously, Caplan is not thinking of the cadre of scientists who seek phony validation by becoming highly paid expert witnesses for the lawsuit industry. Nor is he thinking of the dodgy TV doctors such as Dr. Oz. Caplan’s focus is on the harm done to the careers of accomplished scientists, such as the late Carl Sagan, who was denied tenure at Harvard University and membership in the National Academies of Science because his popularizing efforts eclipsed his substantial scientific accomplishments. Caplan thus blames the American scientific establishment itself for having “disparaged its public communication as unnecessary and looked down on those few who tried to educate broader audiences about the wonders, benefits, methods and advancements of science.”

Professor Caplan argues that in popularizing scientific ideas, theories, and methods, scientists – such as the late Carl Sagan – undermined their own careers. The result is that high-achieving scientists ignored the public square and retreated into their own scientific community’s ivory tower. Caplan’s critique of the detachment of the scientific community could well be extended to its frequent failures to speak out against charlatans in its own midsts, and politicians who distort and misrepresent scientific research in the public arena.

Caplan is, however, very clear that the scientific community’s insularity, and its “resulting failure to communicate about science to the public is a major factor in explaining why so few have rallied to science’s defense today against government policies promoting ignorance, illiteracy and quackery.”  Indeed, although at this point, it is also clear that frank communications about the government’s promotion of scientific quackery will be punished by the Regime’s cancellation of grants, firing from advisory councils, and retaliations against scientists’ universities.

I take Caplan’s critique to be an invitation to engage in counter-factual thinking about what our current situation might look like if scientists had robustly “occupied the field” of communication and education of the public. Citing a recent article in a Nature journal,[6] Caplan observes that populists and right-wing thinkers have been losing faith in science for years. This diagnosis, however, is not quite accurate. Populists, left and right, have succumbed to motivated reasoning in learning to ignore scientific conclusions, regardless of validity concerns, on emotive or political grounds. This mode of (non)-thinking allows populists, left and right, to subscribe to putative scientific claims without any appreciation of the nuances of scientific inference and threats to validity.

Caplan is right to call out the right-wing attack on science, but some of the attack on science is coming from left-wing populists, such as the worm-brained Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. And historically, there have been many instances in which environmental and occupational health advocates have outrun their headlights to press claims based upon hypothetical models and unvalidated assumptions.

All people, whether they hang politically left or right, are vulnerable to the emperor of all cognitive biases – apophenia, the psychological tendency to discern causal patterns in random noise. Although apophenia was originally thought of an abnormal psychological process,[7] the phenomenon is common to “normal” as well as mentally ill persons.[8]

Many people, left and right, are willing to endorse, or subscribe to, pseudo-scientific claims based upon their motivations to accept claims, without regard to the methods used to support those claims. Professor Caplan is correct that serious scientists have been too shy to step into the public square, and the scientific community should encourage, not punish, engagement with the public. (Caplan passes over the problem of how university publicists often misrepresent and exaggerate the findings and research of university scientists.)

The problem of lack of trust in science, however, is a much bigger problem. On average, American education and acumen in math and science lags that of many countries in the world,[9] even as post-secondary education in the United States excels and attracts many of the best and the brightest domestically and internationally. Immigrants have helped American universities keep their leadership role in the world, despite shortfalls in domestic funding of primary and secondary science education. Of course, this international leadership in science and math university education, gained with the help of immigrants, is now under attack from the MAGAT regime.[10]

No one is eager to blame those who evidence their lack of trust in science, and to be sure, there is plenty of blame to go around. There are multiple systemic causes of poor quality science and improvident claims to scientific knowledge.[11] In assessing the causes of the prevalent distrust in science, we should not lose sight of the responsibility of those who claim that scientists cannot be trusted. There is at bottom a widespread moral failure in the land.  “It is wrong always, everywhere, and for anyone, to believe anything upon insufficient evidence.”[12]

доверяй, но проверяй!

[1] Zachary Basu, “Trump knee-caps America’s institutions,” Axios (Aug. 27, 2025); Elisabeth Zerofsky, “Robert Paxton, A Leading Historian Of Fascism, Long Resisted Applying The Label To Trumpism. Then He Changed His Mind..,” N.Y. Times Mag. 45 (Oct. 27, 2024).

[2] Thomas Mann, “The Problem of Freedom: An Address to the Undergraduates and Faculty of Rutgers University at Convocation,” (April 28, 1939).

[3] Arthur L. Caplan, PhD., is the Drs. William F. and Virginia Connolly Mitty Professor of Bioethics, Department of Population Health, and the founder of  the Division of Medical Ethics at NYU Grossman School of Medicine’s Department of Population Health in New York City. I had the pleasure to meet Professor Caplan, and present to one of his classes, back when he taught at the University of Pennsylvania.

[4] See, e.g., Arthur L. Caplan, “Fed Action Toward Medical Journals Is ‘Dangerous’, Ethicist Says,” Medscape (Aug. 26, 2025).

[5] Arthur L. Caplan, entitled “How Stupid has Science Been?” EMBO reports (Aug. 2025).

[6] Vukašin Gligorić, Gerben A. van Kleef, and Bastiaan T. Rutjens, “Political ideology and trust in scientists in the USA,” 9 Nature Human Behaviour 1501 (2025) (“Since the 1980s, trust of science among conservatives in America has been plummeting”).

[7] See Aaron L Mishara, “Klaus Conrad (1905–1961): Delusional Mood, Psychosis, and Beginning Schizophrenia,” 36 Schizophr Bull. 9 (2009); Scott D. Blain, Julia M. Longenecker, Rachael G. Grazioplene, Bonnie Klimes-Dougan, and Colin G. DeYoung, “Apophenia as the disposition to false positives: A unifying framework for openness and psychoticism,” 129 J. Abnormal Psych. 279 (2020).

[8] Donna L Roberts, “Apophenia: The Human Tendency to Find Patterns in Randomness,” Medium (Jan. 9, 2024); Ahmed S. Sultan & Maryam Jessri, “Pathology is Always Around Us: Apophenia in Pathology, a Remarkable Unreported Phenomenon,” 7 Diseases 54 (2019).

[9] Drew DeSilver, “U.S. students’ academic achievement still lags that of their peers in many other countries,” Pew Research Center (Feb. 15, 2017).

[10] Is it not high time that we call the movement by its essential motivation: make American great again for the Trumps?

[11] See, e.g., Lex Bouter, Mai Har Sham & Sabine Kleinert, “The Lancet–World Conferences on Research Integrity Foundation Commission on Research Integrity,” 406 The Lancet 896 (2025).

[12] William K. Clifford, “The Ethics of Belief,” 29 Contemporary Rev. 289, 295 (1877).